Description: In this paper we shall present our results in terms of the estimation of human mortality rates, but the results carry over to other applications. We shall discuss a Bayesian model that encompasses both graduation [smoothing] and prediction.

Description: This article is a brief summary of the 1983 Actuarial Research Conference held September 29 - October 1, at the University of Wisconsin, Madison. The topic was Population Projections: Techniques and Implications. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1984, Vol. 1.

Description: Actuaries, like other business professionals, communicate quantitative ideas graphically. Because the process of reading, or decoding, graphs is more complex than reading text, graphs are vulnerable to many sources of abuse. This is the abstract of a paper that will help creators design more effective graphs and will help viewers recognize misleading graphs. The paper summarizes guidelines for designing graphs that show important numerical information and gives examples of commonly encountered graphs that mislead and hide information. The complete paper appears in the April 1998 issue of the North American Actuarial Journal. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1998 Vol. 1.