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  • Analyzing Recent Experience on FHA Investor Loans
    Analyzing Recent Experience on FHA Investor Loans This work describes a study undertaken to determine whether the Federal Housing Administration's 'FHA' single-family-home ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog
    • Date: Oct 1988
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Public Policy
  • Credibility: The Bayesian Model versus Bühlmann's Model
    Credibility: The Bayesian Model versus Bühlmann's Model This paper examines the compatibility of the two models, in the hope that this exploration will prompt a greater ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog
    • Date: Oct 1989
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
  • Statistical Tests of the Lognormal Distribution as a Basis for Interest Rate Changes
    Statistical Tests of the Lognormal Distribution as a Basis for Interest Rate Changes This paper identifies several implicit assumptions underlying the use of the lognormal distribution for ...

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    • Authors: David N Becker, Douglas Doll, Thomas Herzog, Daniel W Tucker
    • Date: Oct 1991
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation
  • Applications of Capture-Recapture Methods
    Applications of Capture-Recapture Methods This paper reviews the general methodology of capture-recapture procedures and describes some applications such as estimating the size of the undercount ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog
    • Date: Jan 2006
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Modeling Home Equity Conversion Mortgages
    Modeling Home Equity Conversion Mortgages Many seniors who own houses in the United States have most of their wealth in their houses. Home Equity Conversion Mortgages are designed to allow ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog, THERESA R DVENTI
    • Date: Jan 1990
    • Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
    • Topics: Annuities>Payout annuities; Finance & Investments; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
  • Information Theoretic Approach to Actuarial Science: A Unification and Extension of Relevant Theory and Applications
    Information Theoretic Approach to Actuarial Science: A Unification and Extension of Relevant Theory and Applications This paper presents a unifying non-Bayesian statistical method for ...

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    • Authors: Bradley P Carlin, Beda Chan, Thomas Herzog, William L Roach, Elias Shiu, Patrick L Brockett, Josh Babier, Wojciech Szatzschneider, E S Rosenbloom
    • Date: Oct 1991
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • The Case of the Miscoded FHA Single Family Mortgage Records
    The Case of the Miscoded FHA Single Family Mortgage Records This paper describes an analysis of data anomalies on computer records on 246 federally-insured mortgages. Twenty-three of the ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog
    • Date: Jan 1997
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
  • Credibility and Health Insurance
    Credibility and Health Insurance Presented at October 2000 Annual Meeting. This is a brief summary of a tutorial on the application of credibility theory to health insurance. The concept of ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog
    • Date: Oct 2000
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
  • Believe It Or Not!
    Believe It Or Not! Presenters at session 9I of the Maui II Spring Meeting discuss credibility and why it should be important to the actuary. From the Record of the Society of Actuaries, Vol. 24, ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog, Stuart Klugman
    • Date: Jun 1998
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Modeling Home Equity Conversion Mortgages
    Modeling Home Equity Conversion Mortgages This report describes a stochastic simulation approach used to estimate the amount of a level-payment annuity payable as long as the person is alive and ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog, Tapen Sinha, Theresa R DiVenti, Application Administrator
    • Date: Oct 1991
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Finance & Investments>Investments; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models