Description: Certain valuation assumptions are difficult to set with a high degree of accuracy, whether because the underlying experience is in different economic or interest rate environments, in addition to other reasons. Examples include assumptions for long-term care insurance, annuity options, lapsation and premium persistency on ULSG. This session will share how the actuary can use predictive analytics to augment the assumption-setting process. Some of the benefits to the actuary (along with the company and the regulator) include more accurate assumptions with lower margins for adverse deviations. Of possible interest as well is that applications go beyond valuation and include acquisitions, reinsurance and pricing.

Description: The Society's Group Disability Insurance Experience Committee has completed their study of termination experience for the period 2009-2017. Included is a preliminary report, consolidated database (CDB), pivot tables and appendices.

Description: The Society's Group Disability Insurance Experience Committee has completed their study of termination experience for the period 2009-2017. Included is a preliminary report, consolidated database (CDB), pivot tables and appendices.

Description: Large claims have always been a major source of volatility in health care claims experience. In this session, the presenters will discuss techniques for analyzing large claims, predicting large claims and measuring the associated risk. The presenters will also discuss the early results of the SOA 5/50 research project which will examine the 5% of the population that accounts for 50% of the health care costs.

Description: The Society of Actuaries Individual Disability Experience Committee has completed their study of incidence experience for the period 2006-2014 comparing trends to the 2013 IDI Valuation Table (2013 IDIVT) base incidence rates. Included is the report and pivot table.

Description: This report provides information on other mortality and morbidity data sources to consider. Some of these data sources are rich and complex. This report provides an overview of the data sources’ characteristics and a roadmap to delving into their details.

Description: The Society's Group Disability Insurance Experience Committee has completed their study of termination experience for the period 2009-2017. Included is a preliminary report, consolidated database (CDB), pivot tables and appendices.

Description: The Society's Group Disability Insurance Experience Committee has completed their study of termination experience for the period 2009-2017. Included is a preliminary report, consolidated database (CDB), pivot tables and appendices.