Description: This paper provides a method for estimating long-tailed unpaid losses from paid loss development using trended generalized bondy development. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1993, VOL. 3.

Description: This paper develops a parametric model for health care insurance claims using currently available software to fit parametric models to the data. Model selection is based on the Chi-squared goodness-of-fit test and a comparison of the empirical limited expected value function to parametric limited expected value functions. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1993, VOL. 3.

Description: This paper provides an outline of the pricing methodology used by Blue Cross and Blue Shield of Virginia which incorporates trend analysis by trend component. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1993, VOL. 3.

Description: This session 99PD of the New Orleans Annual Meeting summary: Insurers today are looking for new ways to use currently available experience data to better predict future costs. Both the federal and state governments are looking at the possibility of using prescription drug data because it is more available and often of higher quality than other experience data. From the Record of the Society of Actuaries, Volume 27, No. 3, Session 99PD.

Description: In this paper the authors analyze data from group medical expense insurance claims and show that many insurance loss distributions have very 'heavy tails' because large losses represent a disproportionate fraction of the total cost. They also present a simple model to reproduce and explain the large loss behavior. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1990, VOL. 2

Description: 1973 SOA Regional Meetings, Saint Paul and San Francisco. This paper provided a summary of several concurrent sessions from the referenced meetings including: 1. PRICE DISCLOSURE AND COST COMPARISON. 2. INDIVIDUAL LIFE AND HEALTH UNDERWRITING. 3. TIME SERIES ANALYSIS AND FORECASTING. 4. INDIVIDUAL HEALTH INSURANCE - PROBLEMS AND PRODUCT TRENDS. 3. VARIABLE LIFE INSURANCE. 6. POLLUTION, POPULATION, AND THE QUALITY OF LIFE. 7. HEALTH MAINTENANCE ORGANIZATIONS.

Description: This Fellowship credit research paper describes the use of fuzzy sets applications to the selection of group health risks. In general, fuzzy set theory is implemented to describe collections of objects whose boundaries are not precisely defined, as in the judgment of what constitutes a good risk group. First, single-plan underwriting is considered, then the work is extended to multiple-option plans.

Description: This paper suggests that using the entire runoff triangle to keep a tail on the runoff curve was not necessary, and that doing so was actually a disadvantage if group medical and dental claim payment patterns changed over the period being used. An alternative was presented. From Actuarial Research Clearing House 1993, VOL. 3.

Description: This session from the 1983 SOA Hollywood, Florida Meeting discusses the practical application of risk analysis technique In Health Insurance. This includes using company claim information and multinomial distributions for predictive purposes and using this information to price health insurance. From Record of Society of Actuaries Vol. 9, No. 4