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  • Horses for Courses
    Horses for Courses Explores the open vs. closed systems debate with regards to actuarial modeling and exposes the over-simplification. Valuable for anyone who uses models. stochastic models; ...

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    • Authors: Van Beach
    • Date: Oct 2017
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Leadership>Change management; Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Strategic Insight and Integration>Strategy development; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
    • Publication Name: CompAct
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Asset modeling; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Dynamic simulation models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Simulation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Value at risk - Modeling & Statistical Methods; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics; Technology & Applications>Business intelligence; Technology & Applications>Computer science; Technology & Applications>Data warehousing; Technology & Applications>Software
  • Estimating Probability of a Cyber-Security Breach
    Estimating Probability of a Cyber-Security Breach The purpose of this paper is to define a predictive model, based on known system attributes, for assessing risk associated with information ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries, Arkady Shemyakin, Meghan Anthony, Maria Ishmael, Erik William Santa, Natalie Vandeweghe, Gary Stanull
    • Date: Dec 2016
    • Competency: Strategic Insight and Integration
    • Publication Name: Risk Management
    • Topics: Enterprise Risk Management; Health & Disability>Health information technology; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Predictive Analytics; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics
  • Assessing Prescription Opioid Risk with Predictive Analytics
    Assessing Prescription Opioid Risk with Predictive Analytics We highlight a new approach leveraging predictive analytics to identify high risk and rising risk opioid users for more effective ...

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    • Authors: Joseph Boschert, Andrew Gaffner, Barbara Collier
    • Date: Oct 2018
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; Leadership>Thought leadership; Professional Values>Practice expertise; Strategic Insight and Integration>Effective decision-making; Strategic Insight and Integration>Influence decisions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Health Watch
    • Topics: Demography>Population data; Experience Studies & Data; Health & Disability>Health information technology; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Predictive Analytics; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics; Health & Disability>Electronic medical record