Description: This abstract describes a presentation that shows a study on a long-term disability insurance portfolio under stochastic interest rates.

Description: This abstract describes a paper that discusses the definition of forward rates in general and gives a generally valid definition of forward rates, and continues the work of Norberg (Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 2010, 47(2), 105-112), who made the first attempt to define general forward transition rates.

Description: This abstract describes a presentation that reviews the latest AHCA update and its impact on market stability from short-term and long-term points of view.

Description: This section presents book reviews and summaries of recent publications on a variety of topics.

Description: A high level summary of the basics of Medicare Part D settlements - what they are, and the impact they have on plan sponsors' final financial results. Intended for an audience with limited familiarity with Medicare Part D.

Description: This abstract describes a presentation in which the use of the propensity score in health care studies can minimize biases stemming from non-random treatment assignment and lead to appropriate conclusions on the effect of the intervention.

Description: This abstract describes a paper that supplements actuarial literature in which probability distributions have been proposed, by adding the log-folded-normal and log-folded-t families.

Description: This abstract describes a presentation that presents an overview of the current predictive modeling practices in the auto insurance industry, the challenges telematics presents in the current analytics environment and how the actuaries need to evolve to meet the challenges.

Description: Development of annuities markets is a critical element of any private system. In Mexico, when the new pension regimen came into existence in 1997, the Mexican Institute of Social Security [IMSS] was supposed to buy a single premium annuity for all the people who become eligible under the new regime. Disability pensions represent 37% of total pensions sold up to date. Mortality of disables show substantial differences against the mortality table use to compute the annuity. Most of the differences can be explained by looking at the disability causes. Using information for social security for 2001 and 2002, regarding mortality and disability, this is the abstract of a paper that presents the main causes of disability among disables and the main causes of mortality of those disables who died in their first and second year of disability. The analysis of those cases apart from explaining the important differences between the expected mortality and the observed mortality during the first two years of disability, also explains some of the latter changes in the operational rules of IMSS.

Description: A recent study sheds light on the measurement and implications of the relationship between increased morbidity and declining disability. The results were not consistent across all populations. This study of the compression of morbidity is part of a wider project called the M-project, led by the four authors, which aims to explore the demographic factors leading to an increase in the adult longevity, investigate the phenomenon called the compression of mortality and develop a new methodological approach to longevity analysis with focus on the modal age at death M.