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An Econometric Forecasting for the Social Security Trust Funds
An Econometric Forecasting for the Social Security Trust Funds The financing for Social Security is a pay-as-you-go system, rather than the full-reserve system utilized in private insurance, and ...- Authors: H Shawn Lin
- Date: Jan 1999
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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A Method for Determining Confidence Intervals for Trend
A Method for Determining Confidence Intervals for Trend This paper presents a method involving re-sampling 'with replacement but without random numbers', numerical convolutions for ...- Authors: William A Bailey
- Date: Oct 1992
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Claims Reserving when there are Negative Values in the Development Triangle
Claims Reserving when there are Negative Values in the Development Triangle In this paper the author presents an application of Bayesian forecasting methods to the estimation of reserves for ...- Authors: Enrique de Alba
- Date: Jan 2003
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Projections - How to Make Them and How to Use Them
Projections - How to Make Them and How to Use Them This paper presents the fundamentals of creating and using projections. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1950, Vol. 2, No. 4. Pension ...- Authors: Robert F Link, Robert J Myers, A M Niessen, Dorrance C. Bronson, W Rulon Williamson, Herbert J. Stark
- Date: Nov 1950
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement
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Parametric Models for Life Tables
Parametric Models for Life Tables This paper presents a general law of mortality that is equal to a mixture of Gompertz, Weibull, Inverse-Gompertz, and Inverse-Weibull survival functions.- Authors: Jacques F Carriere
- Date: Oct 1992
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Demography>Mortality - Demography; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Appendix E - Round 2: Comments on Application of Judegmental Methods - Delphi Report
Appendix E - Round 2: Comments on Application of Judegmental Methods - Delphi Report Appendix E is round 2 on comments on application of judgmental methods from the Delphi study. See the SOA ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Oct 2005
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Topics: Economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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A Justification of Some Common Laws of Mortality
A Justification of Some Common Laws of Mortality This paper introduces the modern concepts and definitions of the statistical subject of life testing, and ties them in with corresponding concepts ...- Authors: David R Brillinger
- Date: Jun 1961
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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An Algorithm for Computing Expected Stop-Loss Claims under a Group Life Contract
An Algorithm for Computing Expected Stop-Loss Claims under a Group Life Contract This paper by John Mereu describes a method for mathematically computing the expected loss under a group life ...- Authors: William A Bailey, Hans U Gerber, L Giles, Richard S Hester, Donald A Jones, John A Mereu, Gerald J Rankin, Courtland C Smith, William J Taylor
- Date: Oct 1972
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Life Insurance>Group plans - Life Insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Appendix D - Round 2 Reasons for Projections - Delphi Report
Appendix D - Round 2 Reasons for Projections - Delphi Report Appendix D is round 2 - reasons for projections from the Delphi study. See SOA website Research section for the full report of the ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Oct 2005
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Topics: Economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting This paper outlines a method of parametric modeling that may be used to produce forecasts and forecast intervals that will convey a measure of the reliance ...- Authors: James C Hickman, Robert B Miller, Frank Reynolds, Richard W Ziock
- Date: Oct 1973
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis