Description: Leading enterprise risk management ERM actuaries identified the top 11 areas of risk of 2011 and will provide monthly insight on how ERM programs can be used to hedge against those systemic risks. 'A realistic outlook on the probability of impending natural disasters and their associated risks will help businesses and individuals better prepare, helping to lessen the severity of impact on the global economy while also seizing opportunities to help those in need.' From the Bubble Risk Bulletin-June 2011.

Description: Feature article describing what makes a company a systemically important financial institution and the new rules those companies will have to follow.

Description: Abstract: A model for analyzing the probability and severity of default of sovereign entities and banks. The methodology analyzes the risks inherent in the investment of debt of sovereign governments and large financial institutions side-by-side, taking into consideration macroeconomic interactions among the sovereign fiscal and monetary authorities, the financial institutions, and the real economy. The signature aspect of the methodology is that it adapts a Merton-style default model to use explicit measures of sovereign assets and asset volatility.

Description: This article discusses the global capital standards for Global Systemically Important Insurers (G-SIIs) and Internationally Active Insurance Groups (IAIGs) currently being developed by the International Association of Insurance Supervisors (IAIS).

Description: Collection of essays received in response to the “Systemic Risk, Financial Reform and Moving Forward from the Financial Crisis” call for essays.

Description: This month’s global emerging risk is the fall in value of the U.S. dollar. The SOA’s 2010 Emerging Risks Survey found that 49 percent of corporate risk managers identify the fall in value of the U.S. dollar as the top emerging risk. This is a growing concern because of the brewing economic storms that could collide to have a big impact on the value of the U.S. dollar. From the Bubble Risk Bulletin – March 2011.

Description: This month’s global emerging risk is China’s inflation. The SOA’s 2010 Emerging Risks Survey found that 41 percent of corporate risk managers predicted a Chinese economic hard landing as the emerging risk that will have the greatest impact over the next few years and need to be considered for thoughtful preparation for potential global repercussions. From the Bubble Risk Bulletin, July /August 2011.

Description: Potential actions are recommended for key stakeholders to manage the unintended consequences of systemic risk “brewing” within the retirement system today.