Description: One of the dangers in any sort of modeling, whether for insurance experience or in financial portfolios, is becoming too reliant upon statistics and models, and not keeping reasoned, experienced judgment in sight. This article provides ways to address adverse experience possibilities resulting from misestimation risk.

Description: Preview of the December 2007 issue of the LTC Section news, including articles on individual claims, retrospective reserve testing, population health management, Alzheimers, psychiatric medication, and the latest LTC Experience Committee report.

Description: Following up on recent articles on claim reserves and retrospective testing, this article examines some data quality and methodology issues related to calculating LTCI claim reserves.