Description: This paper presents a method involving re-sampling 'with replacement but without random numbers', numerical convolutions for sums and quotients, and estimation of confidence intervals for trend in average size claim. In this paper, this method is applied to major medical claims.

Description: This paper addresses some pervasive problems in using secondary data in actuarial research. An approach to solving these problems is based on information theory. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1995, Vol. 47.

Description: The net premium for insurance for expected loss in excess of a retention limit may be small, but the resulting variance of excess losses produces a standard deviation several times that of the premium. The purpose of this paper is to give a derivation and evaluation of the standard deviation of the excess losses.

Description: This paper presents a general law of mortality that is equal to a mixture of Gompertz, Weibull, Inverse-Gompertz, and Inverse-Weibull survival functions.

Description: The goal of this paper is to dispel the prevailing belief that American-style options cannot be valued efficiently in a simulation model by presenting a general algorithm for such valuation, and thus remove what has been considered a major impediment to the use of simulation models for valuing financial instruments. Discussions of this paper are included.

Description: This paper is an attempt to examine transmission and incubation period models. Results are used to estimate the risk of HIV+ exposure of an individual company and the resulting reserve needs. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1989, Vol. 41.

Description: This paper presents the fundamentals of creating and using projections. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1950, Vol. 2, No. 4.

Description: This paper presents a model of the progression of the Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome [AIDS] epidemic in the United States. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1989, Vol. 41.

Description: This paper presents a few formulaic examples displaying the advantages of geometric methods over arithmetic methods and provides some theorems proving the increased accuracy geometric methods can provide for interpolation or extrapolation

Description: This paper uses operations research to develop the answer to a question concerning the optimal size of a debit, which is a defined geographical area for an agent to sell and service business as part of a 'combination company' operation. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1968, Vol. 20, Pt. 1, No. 57.