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Using Reversible Jump MCMC to Account for Model Uncertainty
Using Reversible Jump MCMC to Account for Model Uncertainty When fitting a model to any data, there is some uncertainty about which model is best. Green [1995] quantifies this uncertainty through ...- Authors: Brian Hartman, Jeff R Hart
- Date: Nov 2008
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Markov Chain
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Required Surplus for the Insurance Risk for Certain Lines of Group Insurance
Required Surplus for the Insurance Risk for Certain Lines of Group Insurance This paper studies the statistical theory underlying minimum surplus required to protect a group insurer from the ...- Authors: John K Ahrens, Allan Brender, James Ramenda
- Date: Oct 1984
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Life Insurance>Group plans - Life Insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Concentration of Risk and the Catastrophic Accident Hazard
Concentration of Risk and the Catastrophic Accident Hazard It is the purpose of this paper to outline the reasoning behind the Catastrophic Accident Hazard and some of the details of a ...- Authors: Edmund C Berkeley, Edward A Green
- Date: Oct 1954
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Reinsurance>Catastrophe reinsurance
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Models for the Distribution of Aggregate Claims in Risk Theory
Models for the Distribution of Aggregate Claims in Risk Theory This paper considers the distribution of aggregate claims of an insurer. The general form of the distribution is considered ...- Authors: Harry H Panjer, Elias Shiu, Gordon E Willmot
- Date: Oct 1984
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Technologies Used in Modeling
Technologies Used in Modeling In December 1997, the Society of Actuaries held a conference whose focus was actuarial and financial modeling. During the course of that conference, one of the ...- Authors: Arnold Shapiro, Thomas Anthony DeFilippo, AVRIL KATHERINE PHINNEY, Jing Zhang
- Date: Jan 1998
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Annuities And Life Insurance Under Random Interest Rates
Annuities And Life Insurance Under Random Interest Rates A study of the effect of random interest rates on life insurance programs and on annuities both certain and non-certain. This is done ...- Authors: Benny Levikson, Rami Yosef
- Date: Jan 2001
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Finance & Investments>Risk measurement - Finance & Investments; Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting This paper outlines a method of parametric modeling that may be used to produce forecasts and forecast intervals that will convey a measure of the reliance ...- Authors: James C Hickman, Robert B Miller, Frank Reynolds, Richard W Ziock
- Date: Oct 1973
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis
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Experience-Rating Group Life Insurance
Experience-Rating Group Life Insurance This paper explores the principles upon which experience-rated group insurance currently is based and discusses the question of whether or not these ...- Authors: John C Angle, William A Bailey, Application Administrator, Theodore W Garrison, Hans U Gerber, Donald A Jones, Edward J Porto, William J Schreiner, Myron Henry Margolin, James E Jeffrey
- Date: Oct 1974
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Life Insurance>Pricing - Life Insurance; Life Insurance>Group plans - Life Insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods
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Generalized Risk Processes
Generalized Risk Processes In this paper we give new general criteria for the weak convergence of one-dimensional distributions of generalized risk processes and describe the class of possible ...- Authors: V E Bening
- Date: Mar 1999
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management>Risk measurement - ERM; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Bounds for Ruin Probabilities and Value at Risk
Bounds for Ruin Probabilities and Value at Risk Sometimes, rare things happen and the least expected occurs. Indeed, some events occur once or twice in a lifetime leaving little room to learn ...- Authors: Samuel Cox, Ruilin Tian, Luis F Zuluaga, Yijia Lin
- Date: Jan 2007
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Value at risk - Modeling & Statistical Methods