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A Return Visit to the Sugarscape
A Return Visit to the Sugarscape This article describes the use of artificial society modeling to gauge the effect of insurance agent population and effectiveness on individual life insurance ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Dec 2013
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Longevity Catalysts
Longevity Catalysts This article describes some of the drawbacks to the assessment of longevity risk adopted by most practitioners within the UK together with an initiative that provides a ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Aug 2014
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Reinsurance News
- Topics: Demography>Longevity; Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Sensitivity testing
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Back to the Futurism
Back to the Futurism The article gives a brief history of the development of the Delphi method, and describes the use of the Delphi method in studies by the Society of Actuaries over the past 25 ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Dec 2015
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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“One of the Best Kept Secrets of the SOA”
“One of the Best Kept Secrets of the SOA” Description of the vast variety of predictive analytics topics covered by the Forecasting & Futurism section and introduction to the July 2015 issue ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jul 2015
- Competency: Communication>Persuasive communication; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Economics>Behavioral economics; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Data mining; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis
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F&F 2 nd Annual iPad 2 Forecasting Competition
F&F 2 nd Annual iPad 2 Forecasting Competition Provides details of the 2nd forecasting competition for the best model that predicts the Civilian Unemployment Rate 'UNRATE', ...- Authors: Benjamin Steward Wadsley
- Date: Jan 2012
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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STOCHASTIC APPROACHES TO CORPORATE PLANNING
STOCHASTIC APPROACHES TO CORPORATE PLANNING This teaching session is about conveying to users of models and forecasts how uncertain the outcome of stochastic projections really is. Return on ...- Authors: Frank S Irish
- Date: Apr 1977
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models
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Understanding Autoregressive Model for Time Series
Understanding Autoregressive Model for Time Series In this article, we are going to discuss the AR model by making connections to time-dependent ordinary differential equations. Time series; ...- Authors: Dihui Lai, Bingfeng Lu
- Date: Jun 2017
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Predictive Analytics
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Value Based and Accountable Care: The Actuarial and Clinical Role in Building a Sustainable Model
Value Based and Accountable Care: The Actuarial and Clinical Role in Building a Sustainable Model As providers are considering accountable and value based care models, it is critical to ...- Authors: Mark Bethke, James M Whisler, Amanda Holland
- Date: May 2013
- Competency: Leadership>Change management; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Strategic Insight and Integration>Strategy development; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: Health Watch
- Topics: Health & Disability>Payment models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Sensitivity testing; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Value at risk - Modeling & Statistical Methods; Public Policy
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Forecasting & Futurism Section to Aid in Upcoming Delphi Study
Forecasting & Futurism Section to Aid in Upcoming Delphi Study The article describes what a Delphi study entails; describes past Delphi studies conducted by the SOA; and summarizes ...- Authors: Ben Wolzenski
- Date: Jul 2014
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Publication Name: In The Public Interest
- Topics: Long-term Care>Long-term care insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Reinsurance News, August 2014, Issue 79
Reinsurance News, August 2014, Issue 79 View the complete issue for the August 2014 Reinsurance News newsletter. defined benefit plans=DB plans;Pension finance;longevity risk;Pension plan assets; ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Aug 2014
- Competency: Communication>Written communication; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context; External Forces & Industry Knowledge>General business skills; Leadership>Influence; Leadership>Mentoring; Leadership>Thought leadership; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Incorporate risk management; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Reinsurance News
- Topics: Actuarial Profession>Management skills; Actuarial Profession>Professional development; Demography>Longevity; Experience Studies & Data>Morbidity; Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Financial Reporting & Accounting>Financial Accounting Standards Board [FASB]; Financial Reporting & Accounting>Generally Accepted Accounting Principles [GAAP]; Financial Reporting & Accounting>International Accounting Standards Board [IASB]; Financial Reporting & Accounting>International Financial Reporting Standards [IFRS]; Financial Reporting & Accounting>Statutory accounting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Sensitivity testing; Pensions & Retirement>Defined benefit plans; Pensions & Retirement>Pension finance; Pensions & Retirement>Pension investments & asset liability management; Pensions & Retirement>Pension legislation and regulation; Public Policy; Reinsurance>Life reinsurance; Reinsurance>General reinsurance