Description: 1992 SOA Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C. In this session on Single Premium Deferred Annuities, the panelists discussed the results of the 1992 Single Premium Deferred Annuity Persistency Study and they identified some additional research in the area of interest-sensitive cash-flow analysis.

Description: Studies full and partial single-premium deferred fixed annuity withdrawals and the relationship of this activity to selected characteristics of the contract. This report shows results for the calendar years 1984 - 1989 on business issued between 1978 - 1989.

Description: We devise an approach, using tobit models for modeling annuity lapse rates. The approach is based on data provided by the Society of Actuaries’ Risk Management Task Force. Kim [2005a] models annuity lapse rates using a logit model and the same US data (he also used Korean data separately). We find that the tobit model is a more than suitable approach for all levels of the explanatory variables including interest rates, unemployment rates, and GDP growth rates. Specifically, policyholder behavior in the tail of the distribution of lapse rates is explained as well as it is in the normal range of lapse rates.