Description: Reserving and ratemaking calculations are vital to how insurance companies perform financially. Current-day practices for predicting future loss ratio or pure premiums for reserving and ratemaking rates are not based on low prediction errors—mean squared error (MSE) criterion. This report provides mathematically optimal weights that lead to minimum MSE prediction errors, and the formulas are validated using retro-testing with real-world datasets. In this report, two main theorems are discussed, each addressing prediction of future loss ratio or pure premium and improving upon current practices for how rates and reserves are calculated.

Description: The Society of Actuaries’ (SOA’s) educational track on General Insurance (property and casualty) was recently recognized by both Hong Kong and Singapore regulators.

Description: This report identifies and makes recommendations regarding possible exposure measures for pricing and analyzing the risks in cyber insurance. Cyber insurance is an insurance product that is designed to provide protection against the financial consequences of a failure or compromise of an organization’s information system as a result of a cyber event.

Description: The Spatial Hazards Events and Losses Database for the United States (SHELDUS) provides county-level data for direct economic losses due to natural hazards from 1960 to the present.

Description: The personal auto insurance industry is constantly changing. There are small and steady changes over time (e.g., inflation affecting the cost of repairs or general progress in the safety of vehicles) and sharp spikes (e.g., disasters and legislation). That change has never been more apparent with the Covid-19 pandemic, civil unrest, and driverless cars all presently having a significant impact on personal auto insurance.