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2021-pa-hack-a-thon
This is a 4-hour predictive analytics competition. It will be developed by the PAF and Modeling section. The competition will use publicly available data and ask participants to predict the ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Jul 2021
- Topics: Predictive Analytics; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques; Predictive Analytics>Programming languages & tools
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Exploiting While Exploring: An Introduction to Bayesian Optimization
Exploiting While Exploring: An Introduction to Bayesian Optimization An introduction to the methods and parameters for Bayesian Hyperparameter Optimization in a Life Insurance context. By Nick ...- Authors: Nicholas Hanewinckel
- Date: Jun 2021
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Life Insurance; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques; Predictive Analytics>Programming languages & tools
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Surrogate Models: A Comfortable Middle Ground?
Surrogate Models: A Comfortable Middle Ground? In this article we examine the benefits and drawbacks of using a global surrogate of a black-box model. Are surrogates a comfortable middle ground ...- Authors: Harrison Jones
- Date: Aug 2021
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques
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Actuarial Open Educational Resources
Increasing technology is available to create and disseminate educational resources worldwide. In response, this article advocates creation of open educational resources (OERs) that will benefit ...- Authors: Edward Frees, Paul Herbert Johnson, Marjorie Rosenberg
- Date: Nov 2021
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Expanding Horizons
- Topics: Actuarial Profession; Actuarial Profession>Professional development; Predictive Analytics; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques
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Modeling Extreme Events
Modeling Extreme Events A significant fraction of insurance risk is characterized by the tail of the claims distribution, where we have much less data to model probabilities accurately. Ignoring ...- Authors: Robert Jason Reed (Jason)
- Date: Jun 2021
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques
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Ehren Nagel: SOA Predictive Analytics Certificate Has Positively Impacted My Work
Ehren Nagel: SOA Predictive Analytics Certificate Has Positively Impacted My Work Early in his career, Ehren Nagel, FSA, MAAA, scoured through podcasts and articles about predictive analytics, ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Nov 2019
- Topics: Health & Disability; Health & Disability>Chronic health management - Health & Disability; Health & Disability>Health care; Health & Disability>Health care quality; Health & Disability>Health information technology; Health & Disability>Health insurance; Health & Disability>Health risks; Health & Disability>Payment models; Predictive Analytics; Health & Disability>Affordable Care Act (ACA); Health & Disability>Association Health Plans; Health & Disability>Claims - Health & Disability; Health & Disability>Provider networks; Health & Disability>Provider risk; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques; Predictive Analytics>Programming languages & tools; Health & Disability>Electronic medical record
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Yi-Ling Lin: SOA Predictive Analytics Program Prepares You for Health Care’s Future
Yi-Ling Lin: SOA Predictive Analytics Program Prepares You for Health Care’s Future Yi-Ling Lin, FSA, MAAA, FCA, started the SOA’s Predictive Analytics Certificate Program to keep pace with the ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Nov 2019
- Topics: Health & Disability; Health & Disability>Chronic health management - Health & Disability; Health & Disability>Health care; Health & Disability>Health care quality; Health & Disability>Health information technology; Health & Disability>Health insurance; Health & Disability>Health risks; Health & Disability>Payment models; Predictive Analytics; Health & Disability>Affordable Care Act (ACA); Health & Disability>Association Health Plans; Health & Disability>Claims - Health & Disability; Health & Disability>Provider networks; Health & Disability>Provider risk; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques; Predictive Analytics>Programming languages & tools; Health & Disability>Electronic medical record
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Adapting Credibility Blended Rates to Encompass Machine Learning Predictions
Adapting Credibility Blended Rates to Encompass Machine Learning Predictions Actuarial concepts of credibility can be extended to encompass additional information provided by new machine learning ...- Date: Apr 2021
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques
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When Affordability Savings Do Not Reduce Costs
When Affordability Savings Do Not Reduce Costs Regression to the mean is a phenomenon that arises when comparing sequential data points. It states that when an initial observation is extreme or ...- Authors: Tony Pistilli
- Date: Dec 2020
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Health Watch
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Regression analysis; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques; Predictive Analytics>Quality control & model governance
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Better Care Through Understanding the Customer Not Just the Patient
As actuaries in health care, we spend most of our time focused on reviewing claims, enrollment and clinical data. That information is captured while patients are in health care facilities. Yet ...- Authors: James Dolstad, Craig Cartossa, Justin Hartmann
- Date: Dec 2021
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions; Strategic Insight and Integration; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Health Watch
- Topics: Health & Disability; Health & Disability>Health care; Health & Disability>Health care quality; Health & Disability>Health insurance; Health & Disability>Health risks; Health & Disability>Payment models; Predictive Analytics; Health & Disability>Provider networks; Health & Disability>Provider risk; Predictive Analytics>Modeling techniques