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An Econometric Forecasting for the Social Security Trust Funds
An Econometric Forecasting for the Social Security Trust Funds The financing for Social Security is a pay-as-you-go system, rather than the full-reserve system utilized in private insurance, and ...- Authors: H Shawn Lin
- Date: Jan 1999
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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A Method for Determining Confidence Intervals for Trend
A Method for Determining Confidence Intervals for Trend This paper presents a method involving re-sampling 'with replacement but without random numbers', numerical convolutions for ...- Authors: William A Bailey
- Date: Oct 1992
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Comments on ‘The Case for Stochastic Present Values,” by Dimitry Mindlin
Comments on ‘The Case for Stochastic Present Values,” by Dimitry Mindlin Eric Friedman’s comments on ‘The Case for Stochastic Present Values,” by Dimitry Mindlin Asset allocation;Discount rates= ...- Authors: Eric S Friedman
- Date: Jun 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods; Pensions & Retirement>Pension finance; Pensions & Retirement>Public sector plans
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Chairperson talks about the activities of the section.
Chairperson talks about the activities of the section. Chairperson talks about the activities of the section. prediction;forecast;assumptions;standards of practice 6442457424 8/1/2014 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries, Barry Franklin
- Date: Aug 2014
- Competency: Professional Values
- Publication Name: Risk Management
- Topics: Actuarial Profession>Standards of practice; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods
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Mortality Improvement: Will it continue in the future or will trends reverse?
Mortality Improvement: Will it continue in the future or will trends reverse? This summary explains the techniques used and the results from the application of futurism techniques utilized to ...- Authors: Allen Klein
- Date: Jan 2008
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Claims Reserving when there are Negative Values in the Development Triangle
Claims Reserving when there are Negative Values in the Development Triangle In this paper the author presents an application of Bayesian forecasting methods to the estimation of reserves for ...- Authors: Enrique de Alba
- Date: Jan 2003
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Parametric Models for Life Tables
Parametric Models for Life Tables This paper presents a general law of mortality that is equal to a mixture of Gompertz, Weibull, Inverse-Gompertz, and Inverse-Weibull survival functions.- Authors: Jacques F Carriere
- Date: Oct 1992
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Demography>Mortality - Demography; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Projections - How to Make Them and How to Use Them
Projections - How to Make Them and How to Use Them This paper presents the fundamentals of creating and using projections. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1950, Vol. 2, No. 4. Pension ...- Authors: Robert F Link, Robert J Myers, A M Niessen, Dorrance C. Bronson, W Rulon Williamson, Herbert J. Stark
- Date: Nov 1950
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement
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Horses for Courses
Horses for Courses Explores the open vs. closed systems debate with regards to actuarial modeling and exposes the over-simplification. Valuable for anyone who uses models. stochastic models; ...- Authors: Van Beach
- Date: Oct 2017
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Leadership>Change management; Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Strategic Insight and Integration>Big picture view; Strategic Insight and Integration>Strategy development; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: CompAct
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Asset modeling; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Dynamic simulation models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Modeling efficiency; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Simulation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Value at risk - Modeling & Statistical Methods; Technology & Applications>Analytics and informatics; Technology & Applications>Business intelligence; Technology & Applications>Computer science; Technology & Applications>Data warehousing; Technology & Applications>Software
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Pension Forecasts, Part 2: The Model Has No Clothes
Pension Forecasts, Part 2: The Model Has No Clothes Part 2 of an article which presents simplified problem and and presented alternate models. Answers are presented in this article. The ...- Authors: Lawrence N Bader
- Date: Jun 2001
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Pension Section News
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods