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An Econometric Forecasting for the Social Security Trust Funds
An Econometric Forecasting for the Social Security Trust Funds The financing for Social Security is a pay-as-you-go system, rather than the full-reserve system utilized in private insurance, and ...- Authors: H Shawn Lin
- Date: Jan 1999
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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A Method for Determining Confidence Intervals for Trend
A Method for Determining Confidence Intervals for Trend This paper presents a method involving re-sampling 'with replacement but without random numbers', numerical convolutions for ...- Authors: William A Bailey
- Date: Oct 1992
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Chairperson talks about the activities of the section.
Chairperson talks about the activities of the section. Chairperson talks about the activities of the section. prediction;forecast;assumptions;standards of practice 6442457424 8/1/2014 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries, Barry Franklin
- Date: Aug 2014
- Competency: Professional Values
- Publication Name: Risk Management
- Topics: Actuarial Profession>Standards of practice; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods
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Comments on ‘The Case for Stochastic Present Values,” by Dimitry Mindlin
Comments on ‘The Case for Stochastic Present Values,” by Dimitry Mindlin Eric Friedman’s comments on ‘The Case for Stochastic Present Values,” by Dimitry Mindlin Asset allocation;Discount rates= ...- Authors: Eric S Friedman
- Date: Jun 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods; Pensions & Retirement>Pension finance; Pensions & Retirement>Public sector plans
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Mortality Improvement: Will it continue in the future or will trends reverse?
Mortality Improvement: Will it continue in the future or will trends reverse? This summary explains the techniques used and the results from the application of futurism techniques utilized to ...- Authors: Allen Klein
- Date: Jan 2008
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Deep Learning in Risk Management: A Gentle Introduction
Deep Learning in Risk Management: A Gentle Introduction The article provides a high-level, non-technical, introduction to artificial neural networks (ANNs) and deep learning with an application ...- Authors: Damon Levine
- Date: Sep 2022
- Publication Name: Risk Management
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management>Risk measurement - ERM; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Deterministic models; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Estimation methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Pension Forecasts, Part 2: The Model Has No Clothes
Pension Forecasts, Part 2: The Model Has No Clothes Part 2 of an article which presents simplified problem and and presented alternate models. Answers are presented in this article. The ...- Authors: Lawrence N Bader
- Date: Jun 2001
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Pension Section News
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods
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Claims Reserving when there are Negative Values in the Development Triangle
Claims Reserving when there are Negative Values in the Development Triangle In this paper the author presents an application of Bayesian forecasting methods to the estimation of reserves for ...- Authors: Enrique de Alba
- Date: Jan 2003
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Parametric Models for Life Tables
Parametric Models for Life Tables This paper presents a general law of mortality that is equal to a mixture of Gompertz, Weibull, Inverse-Gompertz, and Inverse-Weibull survival functions.- Authors: Jacques F Carriere
- Date: Oct 1992
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Demography>Mortality - Demography; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Results of Tax Modeling Survey
Results of Tax Modeling Survey Results of survey, conducted recently by the Taxation Section of the Society of Actuaries, on how federal income tax is reflected in the projection work being ...- Authors: Steven C Chamberlin
- Date: Feb 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: Taxing Times
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Asset modeling; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting