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Modeling and Forecasting Chinese Population Dynamics in a Multi-Population Context

The purpose of this project is to forecast China's population structure in the coming decades by projecting both the mortality and fertility rates of the Chinese population. In particular, we forecast China's future mortality rates in a multiple-population context, by explicitly allowing its systematic mortality patterns to gradually converge to those of a group of more developed countries with higher life expectancy levels and better data quality. The implications of population structure to China's social security system will also be discussed.

Report

Modeling and Forecasting Chinese Population Dynamics in a Multi-Population Context

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