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Pension Forecasts, Part 2: The Model Has No Clothes
Pension Forecasts, Part 2: The Model Has No Clothes Part 2 of an article which presents simplified problem and and presented alternate models. Answers are presented in this article. The ...- Authors: Lawrence N Bader
- Date: Jun 2001
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
- Publication Name: Pension Section News
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement>Assumptions and methods
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From the Editor
From the Editor Summary of all issue articles, with theme of recognizing limits of classical actuarial methods. ;; Regression analysis; Risk modeling; Statistical methods 4294992059 7/1/2012 12: ...- Authors: David Snell
- Date: Jul 2012
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial theory in business context
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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July 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism
July 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism The July 2013 issue of the SOA’s Forecasting & Futurism section’s newsletter, Forecasting & Futurism. Financial management;Modeling ...- Authors: Society of Actuaries
- Date: Jul 2013
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Mortality Improvement Rates: Modeling and Parameter Uncertainty
Mortality Improvement Rates: Modeling and Parameter Uncertainty This article proposes a framework for estimating mortality improvement models and analyzing the parameter uncertainty in such ...- Authors: Andrew Hunt, Andres Mauricio Villegas Ramirez
- Date: Jul 2017
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Innovative solutions
- Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Cox, Ingersoll and Ross Models of Interest Rates
Cox, Ingersoll and Ross Models of Interest Rates Presented at May 2002 Spring Meeting. Our lecturer presents findings from a research project relating to the Cox, Ingersoll & Ross model ...- Authors: Peter Tilley, Wojciech Szatzschneider
- Date: May 2002
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Record of the Society of Actuaries
- Topics: Finance & Investments>Investments; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Deciding What to Research: How to Spot and Avoid Bias
Deciding What to Research: How to Spot and Avoid Bias A discussion on how to avoid bias when choosing research topics. Predictive modeling 6442473943 12/1/2016 12:00:00 AM ...- Authors: Kurt Wrobel
- Date: Dec 2016
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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The Actuarial Profession and Complex Models: Knowing the Limits of Our Knowledge
The Actuarial Profession and Complex Models: Knowing the Limits of Our Knowledge This article discusses steps to follow to ensure a more rational and productive approach to data analysis.- Authors: Kurt Wrobel
- Date: Jul 2012
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Dark Side Of The Moon
Dark Side Of The Moon Feature article discussing the difficult situation of actuarial forecasting with little or no date. Financial management;Modeling efficiency;Predictive modeling 4294999280 7 ...- Authors: Clark Ramsey
- Date: Jul 2013
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
- Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Session 091: Medicaid Margin Assumptions - Opening the Black Box
Session 091: Medicaid Margin Assumptions - Opening the Black Box In Medicaid rate development, actuaries have not historically shared models that developed the margin (i.e., underwriting gain) ...- Authors: Sabrina Gibson, Michelle L Raleigh, James Randolph Piekut, Jaredd Martin Keith Simons
- Date: May 2019
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Regulatory Update
Regulatory Update Summary of NAIC's Winter National Meeting Appointed Actuary;Standard Valuation Law;Statutory accounting;Statutory codification;Statutory reserves 6442475468 3/1/2017 ...- Authors: Karen Rudolph
- Date: Mar 2017
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations; Strategic Insight and Integration>Strategy development; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Problem analysis and definition
- Publication Name: In The Public Interest
- Topics: Life Insurance>Reserves - Life Insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models