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  • Credibility: The Bayesian Model versus Bühlmann's Model
    Credibility: The Bayesian Model versus Bühlmann's Model This paper examines the compatibility of the two models, in the hope that this exploration will prompt a greater ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog
    • Date: Oct 1989
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods
  • Analyzing Recent Experience on FHA Investor Loans
    Analyzing Recent Experience on FHA Investor Loans This work describes a study undertaken to determine whether the Federal Housing Administration's 'FHA' single-family-home ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog
    • Date: Oct 1988
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>External forces and business performance; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Public Policy
  • Statistical Tests of the Lognormal Distribution as a Basis for Interest Rate Changes
    Statistical Tests of the Lognormal Distribution as a Basis for Interest Rate Changes This paper identifies several implicit assumptions underlying the use of the lognormal distribution for ...

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    • Authors: David N Becker, Douglas Doll, Thomas Herzog, Daniel W Tucker
    • Date: Oct 1991
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Scenario generation
  • Information Theoretic Approach to Actuarial Science: A Unification and Extension of Relevant Theory and Applications
    Information Theoretic Approach to Actuarial Science: A Unification and Extension of Relevant Theory and Applications This paper presents a unifying non-Bayesian statistical method for ...

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    • Authors: Bradley P Carlin, Beda Chan, Thomas Herzog, William L Roach, Elias Shiu, Patrick L Brockett, Josh Babier, Wojciech Szatzschneider, E S Rosenbloom
    • Date: Oct 1991
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Modeling & Statistical Methods
  • Modeling Home Equity Conversion Mortgages
    Modeling Home Equity Conversion Mortgages This report describes a stochastic simulation approach used to estimate the amount of a level-payment annuity payable as long as the person is alive and ...

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    • Authors: Thomas Herzog, Tapen Sinha, Theresa R DiVenti, Application Administrator
    • Date: Oct 1991
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
    • Topics: Finance & Investments>Investments; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Stochastic models