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A Method for Determining Confidence Intervals for Trend
A Method for Determining Confidence Intervals for Trend This paper presents a method involving re-sampling 'with replacement but without random numbers', numerical convolutions for ...- Authors: William A Bailey
- Date: Oct 1992
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Health & Disability>Health insurance; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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An Econometric Forecasting for the Social Security Trust Funds
An Econometric Forecasting for the Social Security Trust Funds The financing for Social Security is a pay-as-you-go system, rather than the full-reserve system utilized in private insurance, and ...- Authors: H Shawn Lin
- Date: Jan 1999
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Claims Reserving when there are Negative Values in the Development Triangle
Claims Reserving when there are Negative Values in the Development Triangle In this paper the author presents an application of Bayesian forecasting methods to the estimation of reserves for ...- Authors: Enrique de Alba
- Date: Jan 2003
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Actuarial Research Clearing House
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Bayesian methods; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Parametric Models for Life Tables
Parametric Models for Life Tables This paper presents a general law of mortality that is equal to a mixture of Gompertz, Weibull, Inverse-Gompertz, and Inverse-Weibull survival functions.- Authors: Jacques F Carriere
- Date: Oct 1992
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Demography>Mortality - Demography; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Projections - How to Make Them and How to Use Them
Projections - How to Make Them and How to Use Them This paper presents the fundamentals of creating and using projections. From Transactions of Society of Actuaries 1950, Vol. 2, No. 4. Pension ...- Authors: Robert F Link, Robert J Myers, A M Niessen, Dorrance C. Bronson, W Rulon Williamson, Herbert J. Stark
- Date: Nov 1950
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Pensions & Retirement
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A Justification of Some Common Laws of Mortality
A Justification of Some Common Laws of Mortality This paper introduces the modern concepts and definitions of the statistical subject of life testing, and ties them in with corresponding concepts ...- Authors: David R Brillinger
- Date: Jun 1961
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Publication Name: Transactions of the SOA
- Topics: Experience Studies & Data>Mortality; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Rainfall Insurance
Rainfall Insurance This paper addresses rainfall insurance using financial derivatives. Usual modeling is done for temperature related products. The authors gathered rainfall data in Mexico City ...- Authors: Tapen Sinha, Edgard Baqueiro
- Date: Jan 2006
- Competency: Results-Oriented Solutions>Actionable recommendations; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Finance & Investments>Derivatives; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting