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The Role of Conditional Probabilities in Risk Assessment
The Role of Conditional Probabilities in Risk Assessment 2011 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Chicago. This paper highlights the impact that a change in conditional data would have on a ...Description: 2011 Enterprise Risk Management Symposium, Chicago. This paper highlights the impact that a change in conditional data would have on a variety of risk assessment models, with specific emphasis on investment forecasting.
Hide- Authors: Richard Joss
- Date: Mar 2011
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Enterprise Risk Management; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Longevity Risk and Regular Discount Sequence
Longevity Risk and Regular Discount Sequence Presented at Living to 100 Symposium, January 2011. This study adapts the idea of regular discount sequence in the bandit problem, and uses it to ...Description: Presented at Living to 100 Symposium, January 2011. This study adapts the idea of regular discount sequence in the bandit problem, and uses it to interpret life expectancy, as well as to develop a model for survival probabilities. Data came from multiple countries.
Hide- Authors: Ching-Syang Jack Yue, HSIN-CHUNG WANG
- Date: Jan 2011
- Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge; Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Demography>Longevity; Global Perspectives; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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Forecasting mortality in the presence of missing data: an application to Chinese population
Forecasting mortality in the presence of missing data: an application to Chinese population This abstract describes a paper that investigates how to apply a stochastic mortality model in the ...Description: This abstract describes a paper that investigates how to apply a stochastic mortality model in the presence of missing data, using 'multiple imputation'.
Hide- Authors: Ping An
- Date: Jul 2010
- Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
- Topics: Demography>Mortality - Demography; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting